In his March 26, 2009 column (this past Thursday), Nicholas Kristof talks about the general limitations of “experts” to predict the future and suggests which types of experts have greater success in predicting the future.
In particular, he notes how a group of educators fell under the spell of an imposter expert. Makes me worry about the field.
View the entire column at http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/26/opinion/26Kristof.html?ref=opinion
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